TNF Top Player Props: Dolphins vs. Bengals
The Miami Dolphins have surprised the entire league as they’ve jumped out to an undefeated 3-0 start. They certainly have not done it with defense and may face their toughest test of the season against a Cincinnati Bengals offense ready to break out with a big game.
All odds and props are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
QB Joe Burrow Over 268.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The Cincinnati Bengals appeared to be suffering from a post-Super Bowl appearance hangover. The defending AFC Champions dropped their first two games to start this season, but you can’t entirely blame Joe Burrow.
The Bengals signal-caller has had to bring his team back after falling behind early in their first two games. Facing deficits on the scoreboard usually leads to airing out the football, and Burrow has not disappointed in the yards department. The former LSU star put up 338 yards in their Week 1 overtime loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, although he did toss four picks.
While Burrow had his most efficient game of the year in Week 2 in a loss against the Dallas Cowboys, he did not break the 200-yard mark.
The 25-year-old had his best all-around game in last week’s win over the New York Jets. Burrow had a 114.9 QB rating while throwing for 275 yards and three touchdowns.
The Bengals have faced some tough tests early on against the Cowboys’ fourth-best pass defense and a Jets unit in the league’s top half against the air attack. Burrow gets a much easier test against the Miami Dolphins on Thursday night.
Only the Baltimore Ravens have allowed more pass yards giving up 353.3 per game, while Miami has given up 297.7 per contest and has just one interception.
Honorable Mentions: Ja’Marr Chase Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-110), Ja’Marr Chase Over 5.5 receptions (-128), Joe Burrow Over 35.5 Passing Attempts (-132)
RB Joe Mixon Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Bengals running game has not had the same opportunities, with the team falling behind early in each of their first two games. As a result, Joe Mixon has not had a breakout game yet this year.
The veteran running back is averaging a career-low 2.8 yards per carry and has not been featured in the offense as he has been in the past. Mixon’s 54.3 yards per game is his lowest average since the 44.7 he put up in his rookie campaign. Last year the Oklahoma alum put up over 75 yards per game and should be due for progression against a questionable Fins defense.
Miami ranks 20th, giving up 116 yards per game on the ground and their 5.0 yards allowed per carry is the seventh most in the NFL. The Dolphins have also allowed the longest run of the year after giving up a 79-yard Lamar Jackson scamper for a touchdown a few weeks ago.
On the other end, the Bengals have the eighth-best rushing defense allowing just 86 yards per game, so if you can find a prop for Miami’s backs, you may want to lean toward the under.
Honorable Mentions: Joe Mixon First Touchdown Scorer (+500), Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-150)